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APCC climate forecasts are based on model simulations from 15 prominent climate forecasting centers and institutes in the APEC region. These forecasts are collected and combined using state-of-the-art schemes to produce a statistically 'consensual' forecast. The APCC forecasts are based not just on the magnitude of the seasonal changes that are predicted, but also take into account their simulated probability.
The APEC Climate Center is a major APEC science activity that was established in November 2005 during the leaders meeting of the Asia-Pacific Economic Forum in Busan, Korea. It produces seasonal and monthly forecasts of climate conditions for all seasons around the globe. APCC collects seasonal forecasts from 15 institutes in the APEC region: National Aeronautics and Space Administration USA, National Centers for Environmental Prediction USA, International Research Institute for Climate and Society USA, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies USA, Hydrometeorological Research Center of Russia, Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory of Russia, National Institute of Meteorological Research Korea, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul National University, Japan Meteorological Agency, Central Weather Bureau Chinese Taipei, Institute of Atmospheric Physics China, Beijing Climate Center, Meteorological Service of Canada and the Australian Bureau of Meteorology.
Further details and verification for the forecasts on a long term basis are available at http://www.apcc21.net. The latest verification is based on a retrospective forecast period.
Monitoring
Major climate modes such as the El Nino and Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) have huge social and economical impacts over the Asia-Pacific region. Early detection of climate extremes and timely dissemination of climate information are needed for mitigation and disaster preparedness. To meet this important need, APCC also provides on-line monitoring products. For timely detection and monitoring of major climate events over the Asia-Pacific region, the latest observed weekly, monthly and seasonal mean values of SST, rainfall, OLR, surface air temperature, Z500, surface wind are provided.
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