Climate Outlook for June - August 2013

BUSAN, 27 May 2013 – Synthesis of the latest model forecasts for June-to-August 2013 (JJA) at the APEC Climate Center (APCC), located at Busan, Korea, suggests less than normal rainfall over Taiwan, South Korea and southern part of Japanese Archipelago. Extensive dry conditions are predicted for the northern South Americas. Wetter-than-normal conditions may be seen in parts of the Indochinese region and most of Indian sub-continent. Warm conditions in most of Asian and American continents will persist.

Forecast

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook:

A broad horse-shoe shaped region in the tropical western Pacific west of the dateline, covering Polynesian islands and the Philippines may experience wet and warm conditions for June – August 2013. A broad region encompassing most of Russia, Mongolia, and China may see also above normal temperatures.

Taiwan and regions further northeast including South Korea and southern part of Japanese Archipelago may see moderately dry conditions. On the other hand, the forecasts indicate wet conditions in parts of the Indochinese region and most of Indian sub-continent. Western part of Mainland Southeast Asia may experience slightly drier than norm rainfall. Further west, a Central Asia and the Middle East region may experience moderately warm conditions.

There is a good chance that northern South America may experience deficit in rainfall. These places may also experience warmer than normal temperature. On the other hand, the Florida Key region and equatorial Latin America may be warmer than normal and they may receive increased rainfall.